Wednesday, September 24, 2014

Fan the Flames Football Forecast: Indiana State

The Liberty Flames started fast for the second consecutive week and defeated #25 Bryant 38-21 in Williams Stadium last Saturday night. The Flames head back on the road for a bigtime non-conference test:

Indiana State (2-1, 0-0)

vs. 
#22/23 Liberty
Matchup

Location: Memorial Stadium, Terre Haute, IN
Series: Second Meeting
Last Meeting: 34-10 ISU 9/28/1996
Kickoff:; 3:00 PM
Radio: Victory FM Radio Network (Liberty) Alan York play-by-play)
Television: Liberty Flames Sports Network/ESPN3 (Liberty) Mike Tilley play-by-play
Coaches: Turner Gill (3rd Season at Liberty, 16-10 Record), Mike Sanford (2nd Season at Indiana State, 3-12 Record)
Last Week: 38-21 vs. #25 Bryant. Indiana State BYE

Liberty plays a team from the current top conference in all of FCS football, the Missouri Valley Football Conference, for the first time since 2008, when they take the field against the Sycamores. Indiana State came into the 2014 season following a 1-11 record, finishing 2013 with 9 straight losses, and the loss of their top RB in Shakir Bell among many last year. The Sycamores are off to a good start in 2014, defeating Ball State from the Mid-American Conference two weeks ago, and giving Indiana from the Big Ten all they could ask for in their opener.

The guy who makes it go in Terre Haute is Mike Perish, a transfer from Western Michigan. Perish passed for over 1600 yards and 10 TDs on the way to being named MVFC Newcomer of the Year. After suffering an injury against North Dakota State, the senior has thrown for 300+ yards in back to back games, much like Liberty signal caller Josh Woodrum.

Another transfer leads the way in the running game in fellow classmate Buck Logan. the tailback came to Terre Haute from Sacramento City College, finished with 609 yards and a single TD in 2013. This year, while splitting time with LeMonte Booker, Logan has steadily improved his numbers over the last few weeks, although the majority of the offense has come from the passing game.

Prediction:

Much like last week against Bryant, at first blush this seemed like a pretty one-sided game when the schedule was announced earlier this year. The MVFC is the top conference in the FCS as I mentioned at the top, so even a team like the Sycamores would present a challenge for the Flames on both sides of the ball. If Liberty can get off to another fast start like they have the last two weeks, that will help the confidence as the afternoon wears on. The Sycamores have proven to be turnover machines this year as they have forced 5 turnovers in the first three games, including 3 fumble recoveries against Tennessee Tech, so holding onto the ball will be a key for the Flames, who have not had a turnover in ths last 3 games.

The last time Liberty played an MVFC team, it was a last second field goal that won the day. I don't think it will come down to the bitter end like against Youngstown State, but I do think the Flames build on last week's victory and get another road victory

Liberty 33
Indiana State 30

Fan the Flames Football Review: Bryant

The Liberty Flames made a statement last Saturday night as they jumped out to a 24-0 lead on the way to a 38-21 win over the #25 Bryant Bulldogs, their first win over a ranked non-conference opponent at home since 2008 when the Flames defeated Elon (ranked #14/12 at the time) in the season finale.

Josh Woodrum had his second straight 300+ yard passing game, and even had a pair of touchdown runs, including a career long 30 yard run in the second half.

Darrin "Petey" Peterson finished with 100+ yards for the second straight game (110 to be precise) but finished without a TD catch for the third time this season.

DJ Abnar and Todd Macon had a solid game, while Abnar missed out on another 100 yard game courtesy of a long run being negated by a penalty.

The story of the game though was the issues with the special teams. Jon Lunsford, making his second attempt of the season, barely knocked in a school record 57 yard field goal, banking it in off the left upright, but then missing a more routine kick from 35 yards out. Trey Turner mishandled a snap giving Bryant a short field for one TD, and Zac Parker, who had an electrifying touchdown against Brevard on a jet sweep, fumbled a punt out of bounds and misplayed a kickoff, which led to Alpha Jalloh fielding the opening kick of the second half.

Inside the Numbers

Here are a few numbers coming out of the game last week:

18:12- Coming into the game, Bryant had allowed an average of 10.7 points per game. It took Liberty 18 minutes and 12 seconds of game time to pass that average on a 3 yard DJ Abnar TD run
9- Liberty finished the game with 9 penalties for 79 yards. Coming into the game, Liberty averaged just over 4 penalties.
5- Josh Woodrum has 5 career rushing TDs after scoring twice on option looks.He finished with 21 TDs on the ground at Cave Spring High School
106- The 106 yards by Dalton Easton was more than the Flames had allowed through the air in the previous two games...combined.

Next up for the Flames is a key test against Indiana State of the Missouri Valley on Saturday at 3 PM.

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

Fan the Flames Football Forecast: Bryant

The Liberty Flames started fast in their final (scheduled) game against a Division II opponent, scoring the first 21 points on the way to a 56-31 victory over Brevard College in the 25th home opener at Williams Stadium. Now to look ahead to a game that has a much higher degree of importance than when it was first scheduled...

#25 Bryant University (3-0, 0-0)

vs.
#24 Liberty University (2-1, 0-0)

Matchup

Location: Arthur L. Williams Stadium, Lynchburg VA
Series: First Meeting
Last Meeting:First Meeting
Kickoff:; 7:00 PM
Radio: Victory FM Radio Network (Liberty) Alan York play-by-play),WOON 1240 AM Bryant Bulldogs Radio Network (Bryant)
Television: Liberty Flames Sports Network/ESPN3 (Liberty) Mike Tilley play-by-play
Coaches: Turner Gill (3rd Season at Liberty, 16-10 Record), Marty Fine (11th Season at Bryant, 65-46 Record)
Last Week: Liberty 56-31 vs. Brevard. Bryant 16-10 vs. #20 Maine

This is the 4th time in 5 years that Liberty has faced a team from the Northeast Conference (2010- St Francis at Lynchburg City Stadium, 2011- Robert Morris, 2013-Monmouth, although they were an FCS independent at the time).

The Bulldogs come in with a world of momentum, coming off an upset win over Maine, their second win over a team from the CAA following a win over former Big South member Stony Brook (who interestingly enough, was ALSO a member of the Northeast Conference before joining the Big South in 2008).

Bryant has lived and died on its stout defense. In 3 games (2 D1 and D2 Merrimack), the Bulldogs have allowed, in order: 7, 14, and 10 points. Liberty, by contrast, has allowed: 59, 0, and 31 points, but has scored 26, 17 and 56 points (the 56 coming in last week's win over D2 Brevard). The Bulldogs are facing a very explosive Liberty offense with a lot of playmakers, and in an enviroment probably more hostile than any they have ever played in.

Liberty had what some would consider a lackluster defensive performance against the Tornados, but a stellar offensive performance, topping the 600 yard mark for the first time since the double overtime loss to Coastal Carolina at home last year.

Defensive coordinator Robert Wimberly, in his postgame comments, did not want to change the calls and terminology for what likely will be the only triple option team the Flames face all year.

 Junior RB DJ Abnar had a career high 161 yards and 2 TDs, Darrin Peterson narrowly missed getting a 200 yard game, but scored from 80+ yards out in the home opener for the second consecutive year, thanks to an electrifying 86 yard TD catch in the 4th quarter. Josh Woodrum finished with the most yards in a game since his 382 yards also against Coastal Carolina last season.


Prediction

Bryant comes into Lynchburg with a stout defense, probably second to Norfolk State as far as FCS defenses go on the schedule this year. For Liberty to win this game, they need to do the same thing they did against Brevard last week: start fast. If the Flames can get off to a 21-0 lead like they did last week, they can break the will of the Bulldogs and probably cruise from there. If the game stays in the teens and Bryant can keep the margin to a touchdown or less, the Flames might tighten up despite being in front of the home crowd and give them a chance to pull the upset. I like Liberty to win here, but when I did my game by game predictions for this game, I had Liberty winning 41-17. While I now don't think this one will be that one sided, I do still think the Flames pull away late and get another home victory, their first against a ranked non-conference opponent

Liberty 30
Bryant 17

Sunday, September 14, 2014

Fan the Flames Review: Brevard

The Liberty Flames won their fourth straight home game on Saturday night 56-31 over the Brevard Tornados, the 11th win in the last 12 home openers. Liberty has not lost to a lower division opponent in 11 years, something we will touch on again later.

Josh Woodrum finished with 327 yards and 4 TDs, his 9th game with multiple TD passes.

DJ Abnar had a breakout game with 161 yards (career high) and 2 TDs.

Darrin Peterson finished with 182 yards, his 5th career 100 yard game, tying with Liberty Athletics Hall of Fame Members Fred Banks and and Kelvin Edwards along with standouts Dominic Bolden and Eric Green (who probably will be in the LU Hall of Fame soon himself, but that is for another post)

Inside the Numbers

Here are a few interesting numbers coming out of last night's win:

0- After finishing with 6 turnovers in their season opening loss to North Carolina, Liberty has not had a single turnover in back to back games

4- Josh Woodrum finished with his 4th career 300 yard passing game, tying for 5th all-time in program history with Antwan Chiles. Four is also the number of TD passes Woodrum had, a career high.

7- With his 327 yards, the junior became the 7th quarterback in program history to throw for 5,000 or more yards

28- The Flames won their 28th consecutive game against a lower division opponent. You have to go all the way back to 1993 to find Liberty's last loss, against Indiana, PA

Also, with his 161 yards against Brevard, DJ Abnar became the 28th player in program history to record multiple 100 yard rushing games in his career

31- The 31 points scored by Brevard is a record most points allowed by Liberty to a lower division opponent. The previous record was 27 by Edinboro all the way back in 1989



Wednesday, September 10, 2014

Some Liberty Perspective on the Game

Usually in this space I take a few minutes and talk to the beat writer for the upcoming opponent, but with Brevard not having a beat writer,  I thought I would take the space this week and talk to Chris Lang, the Liberty Flames beat writer for the Lynchburg News and Advance. Chris came to Lynchburg after a stint in Arizona covering Northern Arizona and is probably the best beat writer at the FCS level. He actually helped me out in a small way with getting my gig as a freelance writer for the paper.

Fan the Flames: Ive read (both on your blog and on the FlameFans message board) that the Norfolk State game last week was one of, if not the most important of the non-conference games on the schedule (UNC and App State notwithstanding). What does getting a win do for the confidence of the team, especially given the lack of success that the Flames have had in non-conference road games, particularly against in-state schools?

Chris Lang: Well, the in-state thing is a bit overblown, and beating Norfolk State does nothing to prove the Flames can beat the better in-state FCS competition, schools like James Madison, William & Mary and Richmond (Note: this year's homecoming opponent). You've got to remember there were major extenuating circumstances in the two Norfolk State losses. One came two days after Ken Karcher was fired, and the other came at home the same week that Turner Gill was gone for a week mourning the death of his mother. The road win was a much bigger deal for the confidence of the team, because the Flames haven't been able to make plays down the stretch in close road games under Gill. They had chances to beat Kent State, Wake Forest and Old Dominion and shrunk in the fourth quarter in each loss. Saturday, they made a big special teams play (the punt pinning NSU at its 1), got a huge defensive stop and scored a game-clinching touchdown in the fourth quarter. The Norfolk State game wasn't necessarily the most important non-conference game, but it was more important than North Carolina. Liberty needs to sweep its non-conference FCS games to have any shot of an at-large playoff bid, so each of those weeks are like one-week playoff elimination games. Saturday was a good start.

FTF: Earlier today (as I'm writing this email it is Monday), the entire defensive line for Liberty was honored as the defensive player of the week by the Big South. Just how good is this group and can they carry the team going forward?

CL: Vantz Singletary, the defensive line coach, was very candid in his praise for just about every player in that group in the preseason, and he's been proven right so far. Chima Uzowihe has a very good chance at leaving LU as the school's all-time leader in sacks. Niko (Dominique) Davis has been a find in the middle, and JaRon Greene is using the experience he earned as a true freshman to make him a game wrecker at the nose position. There was a lot of talk about losing Francis Bah and Jibrille Fewell, but Fewell was inconsistent at best and Bah was never healthy enough to be a factor last year. The unit is deep and physical and showed its worth by holding its own against UNC in the opener. Definitely a strength of the defense.

FTF: The Flames go into this week's game heavily favored over the D2 Tornadoes. While I won't ask what is the key to victory, I am wondering what sort of things will the coaches want to see from the players in this matchup that will help them going forward, with this being the only non-D1 matchup on the schedule this year?

CL: I'm pretty sure the coaching staff wants to see a fast start with it being the home opener. I know they want to see the run game improve, though it's really tough to judge D.J. Abnar and Todd Macon on the first two games seeing as one was a guarantee game and the other was against one of the top defenses in the FCS. Ideally, they'd love to be able to get an extended look at both Javan Shashaty and Stephon Masha at quarterback, provided the game is in hand by halftime.

FTF: Speaking of schedules, while I know we are only on game 3 of 2014 this week, what is the status of the 2015 schedule? By my count, 10 of the 11 opponents are known (6 BSC games plus Georgia State, West Virginia, Montana and, unless things have changed, JMU). Is there any indication as to who the 11th oppoent is, or at least what conference they are from?

CL: The 11th opponent is likely to be a home game against a lower-level FCS team, probably someone from the MEAC or the Northeast Conference. JMU is still on, as is Montana. With two money games and two games against top-level FCS programs on the schedule, Liberty will be looking for a home breather for the final piece of the schedule.

FTF: Dante Shells had a couple big catches in the win over Norfolk State, including one to set up the first touchdown. With his having to start the season as essentially the 4th WR, what does this do for his confidence after his issues with drops?

CL: It's big. He actually worked his way back to the No. 3 option soon after he was dropped down the depth chart. Josh Woodrum says Dante's biggest issue is that he tends to look upfield for a run lane before he secures the ball. Shells showed increased focus when the ball was thrown his way last week. You've got to remember that he's still a young guy, even though he's been on campus for a few years now. Confidence comes from game experience.

FTF: What is the story with the running backs? Todd Macon goes from Big South Freshman of the Week to getting only three carries, one of which was on the final drive of the game?

CL: I just think Macon might have been physically overmatched against NSU's aggressive defensive front. Plus, (DJ) Abnar is much more of a threat in the short passing game. Macon will be back in a big way this week.

FTF: Last question...with Coastal barely edging out NC A&T a week after a dominating win over The Citadel, is there a chance that the Chanticleers may be a little overrated relative to their ranking in most polls, and is the kind of performance that they had in Greensboro cause for concern down on the Grand Strand?

CL: Not at all. North Carolina A&T is an improving program with a proven coach in Rod Broadway, and Coastal knew that was going to be a tough road trip. The cause for concern comes from having five turnovers in that game. But I think people are underrating just how tough it is to win on the road in college football. A&T beat Appalachian State in Boone last season and was a contender in the MEAC. Had Coastal struggled against Savannah State, I might feel differently.

Thanks to Chris for taking a few minutes, you can follow him on Twitter @ChrisLangLNA and you can read his work in the Lynchburg News and Advance www.newsadvance.com

Friday I will be posting my video preview of Brevard on Youtube so make sure to check it out


Fan the Flames

Monday, September 8, 2014

Fan the Flames Football Forecast: Brevard

The Liberty Flames got back on the winning trackk last Saturday, getting their first road win of teh season in a 17-0 shutout of Norfolk State, the 23rd in program history. Josh Woodrum garnered his 10th game with 200 or more yards, and the Flames offense topped 400 yards for the 4th straight game dating back to last season.

This week the Flames get their first chance to play before the home crowd in Lynchburg, and they welcome a familiar foe to the mountain for the opener...



Brevard (0-1, 0-0)

vs. 

Liberty (1-1, 0-0)


Matchup

Location: Arthur L. Williams Stadium, Lynchburg VA
Series: Second Meeting (Liberty leads 1-0)
Last Meeting: 2013 (Liberty 59-21)
Kickoff:; 7:00 PM
Radio: Victory FM Radio Network (Liberty) Alan York play-by-play), WSQL AM 1240/Brevard Tornadoes Radio Network (Brevard) Rick James play-by-play
Television: Liberty Flames Sports Network/ESPN3 (Liberty) Mike Tilley play-by-play
Coaches: Turner Gill (3rd Season at Liberty, 15-10 Record), Paul Hamilton (8th Season at Brevard, 28-63 Record)

This is the second and final meeting between these two schools, after Brevard paid a visit to Lynchburg in 2013 as Liberty filled in a gap in their schedule brought about by the postponement of the JMU game. Liberty is not planning on scheduling anymore D2 programs so as to bolster their strength of schedule and place themselves in a better position for a berth to the FCS Playoffs. 


Coach Hamilton, the only coach the team has had since the relaunch of the football program in 2007,  took the Tornados to a winning record in 2009, just missing the playoffs thanks to a loss to Carson-Newman.

Prediction:

Liberty will want to make a statement, especially after allowing 253 yards rushing and 21 points last year. This is the home opener for the Flames, and coming off the momentum of their first road win over an in-state opponent in 17 years, Liberty will not want to havea letdown in front of what will be a very large crowd at Williams Stadium. Yesterday I predicted that we could see a record from Liberty in this matchup, but after thinking about it, I think Liberty summarily pounds Brevard, but we may not be rewriting that line in the books, at least not this time around

Liberty 59
Brevard 7

Sunday, September 7, 2014

Fan the Flames Review: Norfolk State

Recap
The Liberty Flames made history of sorts on Saturday. Josh Woodrum passed for 208 yards and  TD while the Flames defense pitched the first shutout of the season as Liberty picked up its second ever victory in the city of Norfolk 17-0 over the Norfolk State Spartans.

The day started inauspiciously as Liberty went three plays and out on the first drive of the game, as two DJ Abnar rushes and an incomplete pass led to a punt from Trey Turner. Norfolk State took over on its own 42 and drove down the field with relative ease against the Flames defense, until Jacob Hagen made his presence felt, stripping Aaron Daniels of the ball as he crossed the 10 yard line. Rejuvenated, the offense drove 88 yards, capping the drive with an Avery Echols field goal, his first in a Liberty uniform. That first drive was the closest NSU would get to scoring the rest of the day.

Both teams exchanged punts repeatedly, until NSU freshman QB Terrance Ervin, making his first career start against the team he once committed to, tossed his first interception, as Hagen stepped in front of a pass and returned it into NSU territory. The Flames would cash in two plays later as Josh Woodrum would score his first rushing TD of the season, and first since the 2013 finale against Charleston Southern.

The teams would have some success moving the ball, but largely it remained a punting competition until the 4th quarter, when Woodrum hooked up with DJ Abnar for the first passing TD of the season on a throwback screen.

Neither team ran the ball particularly well, with the Flames finishing with 72 yards on 26 carries (2.8 per rush), while Norfolk State ended the afternoon with 159 yards on 45 carries (3.5 yards per rush). DJ Abnar finished with 38 yards on the ground for Liberty, while Aaron Daniels, despite the fumble, finished with 75 yards to lead Norfolk State. Darrin Peterson finished with 69 yards to go over 1000 receiving yards for his career. The Flames finished with 6 sacks on Ervin while the NSU defense got to Woodrum twice.

Inside the Numbers

Im debuting an interesting sidelight to the blog, and will give some numbers you won't usually find if you look at the boxscores from week to week.
Here are this week's interesting numbers coming out of the game:

9- It has been 9 years since Liberty rushed for fewer than 100 yards in consecutive games. More than likely that run will continue with Brevard coming to Lynchburg next week
1050- Number of receiving yards Darrin Peterson has following his performance on Saturday.
6- The win yesterday ended a 6 game losing streak for Turner Gill away from Williams Stadium. The win also ended a 6 game losing streak against in-state teams not named VMI on the road (Last win: 17-6 vs. Norfolk State in 1997)
10- Josh Woodrum threw for 208 yards, his 10th game with 200+ yards through air.
17- 17 is the fewest points in a Liberty victory since scoring 17 in a win over VMI in 2013 (The record for fewest points in a victory is 9, accomplished 3 times, most recently 1992)
99- The Flames have scored a point in 99 consecutive games dating back to 2005. The last time Liberty failed to score a point was in a 56-0 loss to William and Mary (10/22/2005).
45- Liberty has scored in double figures in 45 consecutive games. The last time Liberty failed to score in double figures was 2010, when the Flames lost to James Madison 10-3 in Harrisonburg.
23- The shutout yesterday was the 23rd in program history, and the first over a non-conference, Division I opponent since a 21-0 win over Western Carolina in 2006, This is the first ever over an in-state non-conference opponent.

We will be back with a preview of the home opener tomorrow.

Fan the Flames

Thursday, September 4, 2014

Some NSU Perspective on the Game

As we are two days away from the second game of the season, I thought it would be fun to talk to another beat writer and get some opponent perspective heading into this weekend, so I dropped a line to David Hall, NSU writer for the paper in my hometown, the Virginian-Pilot. 

Fan the Flames: How did the team feel following the performance against Maine last Saturday? (a 10-6 Spartans loss)

David Hall: I think they walked away mostly encouraged, despite the lack of offense. Maine is a top-25 FCS team, which bodes well for how the Spartans might stack up against the MEAC. Plus, it was a tough trip. The team flew into Portland, Maine, early Friday, bussed 2 1/2 hours to Orono for a workout and then returned for the game Saturday night. I can tell you firsthand: Maine is far.

FTF: Quarterback has been a question mark since the spring. Did any of the three QBs (Malik Stokes, Omari-Ali Timmons, Terrance Ervin) show any sign of taking a lead in that competition?

DH: NSU coach Pete Adrian was especially impressed with Ervin, who debuted late in the fourth quarter with the game on the line and almost pulled it out. Although Adrian won’t name a starter this week, it wouldn’t surprise me to see Ervin take the field. Meanwhile, let’s not forget about junior left-hander Tyler Clark, who was named the starter after spring ball but couldn’t recover from a hamstring injury in time for the opener. His activity has increased this week, so he could be a factor.

FTF: How good is the defense and is it a unit that can carry the Spartans this year?

DH: Adrian said the defense is as good as he’s had in his 10 years at the school. Opposing coordinators have to account for 6-foot-7 linebacker Lynden Trail, who will likely play in the NFL. And NSU’s secondary is as good as they come at the FCS level.

FTF: Looking ahead to this weekend, what is the biggest key for Norfolk State if they want to even the series with Liberty and likely spoil their at large aspirations

DH: It’s pretty simple: The Spartans have to show improvement on offense. They proved their defensive mettle against Maine, but 100 yards of total offense won’t cut it against anybody. When Maine started bringing pressure early in the game, NSU’s offense looked out of sorts. The coaches will have to solve that problem quickly.

FTF: Is this game the "Super Bowl" for the Spartans or are they treating this as just another game, one that could help their own playoff aspirations even though it is only the second game of the season for both teams?

DH: With all due respect to Liberty, I wouldn’t say NSU is treating this game any differently. Every game is important, and this one is no bigger than any other non-conference contest on the schedule. The Spartans’ main concern, in my opinion, is getting things in order before their MEAC opener against Morgan State on Sept. 27.

Tuesday, September 2, 2014

Fan the Flames Football Forecast: Norfolk State

The Liberty Flames fought gamely against the #23 North Carolina Tar Heels in Chapel Hill last weekend, but 6 turnovers, including 3 in a 3:49 stretch in the third quarter, proved too much to overcome as UNC scored 28 straight points on the way to a 56-29 victory. Josh Woodrum finished with 189 yards but went without a TD pass for the first time since the VMI game last year.

There were some major bright spots despite the loss. Redshirt freshman Todd Macon finished with 67 yards and his first two rushing touchdowns in a Liberty uniform, which bookended the scoring for the Flames on Saturday night.

Another bright spot came from one of the biggest question marks for Liberty, the defensive secondary. Kenny Scott, preseason all-conference at corner, as well as Gary Sampson and newcomer Alpha Jalloh snared a pass on the night against a team that threw a total of 11 interceptions the entire 2013 season.

Finally, the offensive line did a marvelous job against a top level defense, allowing just 1 sack and only 9 yards in negative plays on the night.

There is no rest for the weary as the Flames hit the road once again to take on their first of two in-state opponents on the schedule:

 Liberty (0-1, 0-0)

vs.
 Norfolk State (0-1, 0-0)


Matchup

Location: Dick Price Stadium, Norfolk, VA
Series: Sixth Meeting (Liberty leads 3-2)
Last Meeting: 2012 (Norfolk State 31-24)
Kickoff: 4:00 PM
Radio: Victory FM Radio Network (Liberty) Alan York play-by-play. NSU Spartans Radio Network, Star 1310 (NSU) Ross Gordon play-by-play
Television: Liberty Flames Sports Network/ESPN3 (Liberty) Mike Tilley play-by-play. Spartan Showcase Media (NSU)
Coaches: Turner Gill (3rd season at Liberty, 14-10 Record); Pete Adrian (10th season at Norfolk State, 50-53 Record
Last Week: Liberty 26-59 vs. #23 North Carolina (FBS), Norfolk State 6-10 vs. Maine

Norfolk State has carried the most recent success in this series, winning the last two meetings (34-17 in 2005 and 31-24 in 2012). Liberty has not won a game in Norfolk (following a 21-17 loss to ODU in 2013)since 1997.

Coach Adrian is actually tied for the longest tenured coach in Spartans history along with the man whose name is on the stadium where Adrian's Spartans call home, Dick Price. Adrian enters this season 3rd all-time in wins behind Price and the only other coach with more than 7 seasons at the helm of the Spartan ship, Willard Bailey.

Prediction:

This is not the same Norfolk State team that came into Lynchburg and got one of the biggest non-conference wins in the history of the program in 2012. Their top running back from 2013, Deuce Finch, graduated, as well as the triggerman for the offense that year, Nico Flores. Liberty will want to make a statement in this game after the performance down in Chapel Hill. Duke Cuneo, from LibertyFlamesNation.com made an interesting point on the FlameFans message board, and Chris Lang, beat writer from the Lynchburg News and Advance, echoed that sentiment in his notes today. This game is probably the most important game on the schedule from a non-conference standpoint, because its the one game that could be a "WTF game" on the schedule for Liberty. The only other games on the schedule after this week where Liberty probably will not be favored will be Appalachian State, Coastal Carolina and possibly Richmond as well. Win this one and you have a chance to be 4-1 going into homecoming weekend. Lose this one and you probably can kiss the at-large goodbye two weeks into the season. I think the Flames recover from the Tar Heel funk and make a statement down in Norfolk. This is a game I plan to be at in person and I believe it ends much differently than my last trip into Dick Price Stadium


Liberty 31
Norfolk State 14

As a postscript, an interesting angle to this game is that of freshman QB Terrance Ervin. After starring at LC Bird High School, Ervin committed to the Flames last year, and was going to be the jewel of the class for Turner Gill, likely battling with Stephon Masha for the starting job once Josh Woodrum finished up his career on the mountain. Ervin, however, had other ideas, no doubt expecting to compete for the job right away. So, he reopened his recruitment and eventually signed with Norfolk State after being connected to Delaware State, North Carolina Central and even JMU. Ervin no doubt will want to show the Flames what they may have missed out on by not signing him this past February.